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Thread: Weekly Market Glance & Analysis

  1. #71

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    Smile Pilot buy on UUP

    Bought few shares of UUP yesterday @ 22.30 playing with the temporary reversal. Let's see if the USD has some fuel.


  2. #72

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    Question SPY meeting 2009 resistance





    I'm also watching GLD, SLV, and OIH for possible good long term entries. Oh, and some select country and currency ETFs. Good luck!

  3. #73

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    Smile Market Etc

    Not much to say and still believe on my last week opinion about the market. It seems based on what's happening that the near term direction is down. Watch how this correction unfolds breaking below 118 might likely push through 111-113 levels. Still holding my UUP long position and have moved up my stop to 22.70 the USD is gaining as other countries are forced to accumulate/buy $ because a continued weakness of USD is not good for their own economy.


  4. #74

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    Smile UUP Update

    The UUP position is going great so far I've now moved my stop to 23.10. The market index remains below the 2008-2009 resistance see previous post. This is not a good time to buy long we may see more down moves.

    Now, unless you're purpose is buying for a longer term holding (6 month to a year) then maybe you can buy few shares (10-20 shares) along the way but only on highly select stocks or ETFs. Just bought a few shares of FXA when my limit order from last week got triggered at 96.31 this morning. Caveat: please be reminded that my action is according to my trading plan and not a recommendation or suggestion of any kind. I suggest you review your trading plan and follow it accordingly.



    The horizontal lines marked here is another possible area to add more shares. We'll see.

  5. #75

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    Smile Hiatus Etc...

    Hey guys, I'm on hiatus starting next week. Wifey and I are going to spend the season overseas. I will post some photos just to break the chart pix monotonies.

    Ok, back to the market, UUP gapped down last Friday and my trailing stop got filled at $22.97 way below my $23.10 limit this thing usually happen when there is a gap down or during news announcement that directly affect the stock or a particular ETF.

    I recommend the regular use of trailing stop it is an effective trading management tool that protects you from: 1) further capital losses if you are wrong and; 2) help to secure any gains you might have. Cool huh? What's not to like? As I've said previously UUP is a short term swing trade aimed at capitalizing the impending reversal.



    For my FXA position I have set my trailing stop at $98 to protect the initial gains. Hope the move continues in my favor.



    Quick market Notes:

    The SPY, QQQQ and DIA are presently within their previous recent highs, watch out for a possible double top but in the meantime keep a neutral opinion as anything can happen in the next few days. Watch the price action carefully for clues.

    Note that the IWM (small caps ETF) have successfully broke their highs and the VIX is at support both events are cancelling each other. These are not enough scenarios to conclude and think a positive or negative move is on the way its safer to bear in mind that the market is dynamic and what I've said today or anybody else for that matter may not be applicable or true tomorrow, therefore as an astute trader you must always be prepared to adapt for any changes. Always follow the market its the ultimate guide.

    Good luck and enjoy the fast approaching Holiday Season!!!

    DeeBee

    Dec 7 Brief Update:
    Watch the VIX price movement from 15-17 area any meaningful bounce from and around these areas may result in a market pullback.
    Last edited by DeeBee; December 7th, 2010 at 10:48 AM. Reason: brief update

  6. #76
    Price Action Trading Course Brendan Egan's Avatar
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    Default

    Hey DeeBee,
    Sorry I didn't see this until now--I too was out of town!! Enjoy your trip and I'm looking forward to your updates!
    Price Action Trading Course

  7. #77

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    Talking Back in the US

    Hi guys,

    I'm back! I've enjoyed my long and relaxing vacation. Came back last week but I've been busy taking care of some ops I got from home. Nothin' biggie just shoestring type of projects.

    Hope everybody has been enjoying and profiting with this up trending stock market. Well for me, I have not traded since when I left, though last week I was looking at PIN an etf which I've also traded last year.

    I really like the chart and bought a few filled at $22.22 per share. This is a pilot buy considering the market is in an overbought territory. A meaningful correction whether through time (trading sideways building a base) or through price (retracement) would be an opportunity to add some more.

    Good luck!


  8. #78

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    Smile Charts to study

    In my opinion we are at an interesting level. Good luck!





    DeeBee

  9. #79

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    Question The 10,000 Hour Rule

    This is an interesting rule and can also be applied to trading the markets. The article below written by Steven Pressfield, published November 9, 2011 is in my opinion applicable to any wannabe traders there are some exemptions of course. Enjoy!

    The 10,000 Hour Rule

    I’m not sure whether Malcolm Gladwell was the first to identify this principle or was simply responsible for popularizing it. But his name is definitely associated with it.

    The rule says that in order for an individual to master any complex skill, be it brain surgery or playing the cello, she must put in 10,000 hours of focused practice. Since a thousand hours seems to be more or less the maximum we humans can handle in one year, ten thousand hours equals ten years.

    Of course there are exceptions. Tatum O’Neal won an Oscar at age nine. But, from my own observation, I’d say that ten-year figure is about right.

    But what exactly are we learning when we’re beating our brains out all those years? What was Charles Bukowski learning while he was boozing and wenching and sorting mail at the P.O.? What was Henry Miller accomplishing in Brooklyn and Paris? Or Miyamoto Musashi dueling all those samurai swordsmen?

    Skill, certainly. Patience, professionalism, many other things. But it was something much more subtle—and far more difficult. I almost hesitate to write about this, in that it borders on the mysterious and the sacred. I must silently (or not so silently) beseech the Muse’s permission.

    What these masters were learning was to speak in their own voice. They were learning to act as themselves. In my opinion, this is the hardest thing in the world.

    I understand why Zen masters give their students koans, i.e. unsolvable, logic-defying riddles. They are trying to crack open the young aspirants’ minds by making them hurl themselves over and over into a brick wall of futility until they finally and inevitably give up … and inexplicably succeed.

    To speak in one’s own voice means to let go of all the other voices in our heads. Whose voices? The voices of what is expected of us. Yes, that means the voices of our parents, teachers, mentors. But it means something more elusive too. It means our own expectations of what we should be doing or ought to be thinking—what is “normal” or “right” or “the way it ought to be.”

    “If you meet the Buddha on the road,” says the master, “kill him.”

    In terms of the aspiring writer, we sit down and try to write the way we think writers write. If we’re painting, we paint like painters paint—or dance like dancers dance. What this means of course is that we’re writing like somebody else writes and painting like somebody else paints and dancing like somebody else dances.

    The agony of an artistic apprenticeship comes from our inability to bust out of this self-imposed prison. People tell us to “break the rules” or “think outside the box.” But how the hell do you do that when you’re trying to? You can’t. It’s a koan. It’s impossible.

    How does the actor get past his own excruciating self-consciousness? How does the entrepreneur come up with an idea that’s really new? The answer is they both beat their heads against the wall over and over and over until finally, from pure exhaustion, they can’t “try” any more and they just “do.” The writer says fuck it and writes a sentence in a way he would never imagine himself writing a sentence, and to his amazement that sentence is the first real sentence he’s ever written.

    The price of achieving that breakthrough is time. Time and effort. Ten thousand hours if you’re lucky, more if you’re not. The gods are watching for those ten thousand hours, like instructors at Navy SEALs training. They can tell when we’re faking and they can tell when we’re for real. They can pick out those of us who really want it from those who are only pretending.

    The worst part is there’s no guarantee. Put in your 10,000 hours in medical school and they hand you a scroll of parchment and call you a doctor. But try to make a movie, or write a symphony or paint a picture.

    In the end those ten thousand hours must be their own reward—which is the way it ought to be, don’t you think?

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